4.66%3.85%6.33%- SPYSPY4.66%
- QQQQQQ
0.73%
- DIADIA3.85%
- IWMIWM6.33%
- VXZVXZ
10.47%
4.53%
13.71%
18.12%
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18.12%
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Russell 2000 is now down over 20% from its peak. Nasdaq is down 16.5%. S&P down 12.7%. Hard to see a reason why you want to buy the dip here.
Hey everyone, welcome to the day after! It's the day after "Liberation Day", aka the largest regressive tax increase in American history. Markets are down over 3%.
We'll be joined by Claudia and Ophir, our trusty macroeconomics team, to dissect what these tariffs look like, what it means for the economy, and how we think markets will react over the next couple of months. Join us on X or youtube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qEO864kbJgE
Even more interesting is how this massive tax hike will result in inflation. It will both shrink GDP and increase prices - which is a pretty tough combo to pull off. This can ultimately result in stagflation. Once stagflation starts, monetary policy will struggle.
Besides the obvious problems with this policy, it only targets a bilateral trade deficit of 0 (already completely ridiculous) for goods. In services, we have a massive surplus with the rest of the world. But the policy simply ignores that.
Welcome to liberation day (aka massive, regressive tax increase day). Here are the full tariffs just announced, as markets drop precipitously during the Trump speech. This is much worse than anticipated, and will likely result in significant inflation in the US, and a serious drop in GDP.
